The Magnum Opus · April 2026

Beyond the Queue The regulatory map that determines where America's next infrastructure actually gets built.

An analysis of 16,014 interconnection projects across four US Independent System Operators — linking queue data with state-level regulatory intelligence to identify where capacity will actually reach commercial operation, and where it will not.

16,014
Projects Analysed
Across 4 ISOs
2,600 GW
Capacity Waiting
In the Queue
~20%
Completion Rate
2000–2018 Cohort

What the report shows

Queue data tells you where projects want to be. Regulation tells you where they'll actually be built.

The interconnection queue is the most widely cited data set in US power-sector capital allocation — and the most widely misread. It measures demand to build, not probability of completion. In the 2000–2018 cohort, only one in five projects reached commercial operation.

Beyond the Queue maps the missing variable. It links queue positions to six dimensions of state-level regulatory environment — legislative direction, permitting timelines, utility commission posture, zoning, environmental constraints, legal-challenge history — to produce a composite Regulatory Risk Score by state.


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